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Mayweather card My Predictions and Bets
This is just a post of how I see the fight and the "interest bets " Ive had.
Mayweather v Canelo - I cannot see this fight living up to the hype. My main reason is I dont think Mayweather can stay in great fights anymore particular against someone like Canelo who will be a lot bigger and stronger then Mayweather. I see Mayweather stinking the place out landing one or 2 punches at a time before grabbing and holding when Canelo gets to the inside. I think Mayweather will win a decision here and the price looks big on betfair at about 1.7. |This could get bigger just before the fight so havent backed it yet my self but I have backed the draw at 33/1. The amount of money this fight wil generate is huge. If Canelo can nick a few rounds I would not be surprised to see a very dodgey draw to allow for a rematch which could generate even more money.
Matthysse v Garcia - This will most likely be the best fight on the card. Matthysse is rightly the strong fav here. I think he is better then Garcia in every department. He has more power, better defense, and is the better technician. Garcia is probably slightly faster but its very close. Garcia loves to throw hooks and I reckon that will be his downfall. I think he will get caught and dropped by a straight when throwing a hook and will get finished early. Matthysse round 1 at 20/1 and round 1-3 at 6/1 are worth small nibbles for me.
Cano v Theophane - Theophane is a good fighter who has good wins against the likes of Demarcus Corley and Delvin Rodriguez on his rec. He also lost a split decision against unbeaten world champion Danny Garcia. He has been sparring with Mayweather recently and Mayweather has spoken very highly of him. Cano is coming off 2 losses against Mallignaggi and a shot Shane Mosely. He is a big puncher but can get hit very easily. He also gets cut very easily around his eyes and suffers from swelling so getting hit regularly also gives Theophane a chance of a stoppage win. I thought Theophane would be slight fav in this fight and would have backed 6/4 or bigger.
Smith v Molina - this matchup looks perfect for Molina. He is a slick boxer and has only lost to very good fighters and have had some very poor decisions against him so his rev looks a lot worse then it is. Smith only really loses to good fighters but never looks impressive when he wins. I like Molina here but at 4/11 with 365 its not a price I like. The draw at 28/1 though looks a bit big. Both fighters have had a good few draws. Molina although the better fighter can get lazy which could allow Smith to win a few rounds as you cannot fault his workrate. That plus Molinas unpleasing fan style could lead judges to give Smith more rounds then he deserves so could be scored a lot closer.
I also had a treble of my fancies. Matthysse at 2/5, Molina at 4/11 and Mayweather at 1/3 with 365. They are draw no bet which gives a bit more vaue in these prices.
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Originally Posted by killersheep
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