Recently I read somewhere that counter-punchers tend to win rematches of close fights because counter-punchers win by timing their opponents and the first fight usually allows the counter-puncher to learn the timing of the opponent's punches and that carries over into the second fight (See the Floyd Mayweather v. Castillo rematch and to a lesser extent the JMM v. Diaz rematch (just that it was close in the first fight until the KO which happend because JMM learned Diaz's rhythm)).
I ask this because people are saying Paul Williams has the edge in rematches because of his win against Quintana in a rematch, but if you look at the first Sergio Martinez v. Paul Williams fight, I think you'll see that toward the last third of the fight, Sergio begins to time Paul. I wonder if that will continue into the rematch? Now I'm a little put off by Sergio's weight thirty days before the fight coupled with Paul's request for a catchweight. But that may not be an issue if Sergio effectively times Paul.