Just curious to see if anyone here is picking Maidana for the W.
Just curious to see if anyone here is picking Maidana for the W.
You know how professional poker players say amateurs are the hardest to get a read on? They tend to overplay and or underplay certain hands, and are subsequently unpredictable? That is Maidana's chance, he is so far out of Floyd's league that he just may hit Floyd with something that he doesn't expect. Significantly less then a punchers chance, really. In fact his power is being way over valued leading up to this fight.
im picking maidana to land a punch
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No, for several reasons.
I don't think this is a complete gimme like most people think. Maidana is a rough customer who hits hard and is relentless, and Floyd isn't as fast of hand and feet as he once was, so I can see Maidana crowding Mayweather and making it rough for him.
A few things that make Maidana and interesting fight is that he's a lot grittier and more relentless than the guys Floyd has been fighting as of late. I don't see him giving up mentally, because he's used to being the slower guy in there who has to eat 3 or 4 punches to land 1. He is also a lot more unorthodox in his punching than guys like Canelo, and we saw that in the Broner fight. The shots he hurt Broner with were all from crazy angles, or punches that changed trajectory mid-flight. He's very effective on the inside and throws from crazy angles, so guaranteed he will land on Floyd on the inside if Floyd choses to go into a shell in front of him.
Other than that, I just don't think Maidana quite has the one-punch power needed to catch and blast Mayweather out of there. He might hurt him ala Mosley, but Floyd has showed a fantastic chin and ability to remain calm under duress, so even if Maidana hurts him I don't see him being able to close the show.
And as clever as Maidana can be with his power shots, he really only has one gear, and if he's tagging Floyd with any consistency in the early rounds, Floyd is intelligent enough to make the adjustments (unlike stupid Broner).
I'm looking forward to the fight, I'm hoping that Maidana can make Floyd uncomfortable in there, land some blows and maybe a couple of elbows, make it a street fight. And there's always that possibility that Floyd gets old overnight and all of a sudden his reflexes and punch resistance are diminished and Maidana cashes in a lottery ticket ala Antonio Tarver.
This is the Broner vs Maidana fight all over again, all of us are picking Floyd, and some of us are secretly hoping Maidana gets lucky.
To put it in perspective, the odds for Canelo-Mayweather were 2-1 or 3-1 for Mayweather. The odds for Maidana-Mayweather, with Maidana coming off arguably the biggest victory of his career are 13-1 for Mayweather. This is the definition of a gimme fight. I don't see any way Chino wins. Mayweather might actually get his first stoppage since Hatton.
By the way, did anyone notice Floyd is making $32 MM for this fight and Chino is making $1.5? How much did Marcos make for his fight against Broner?
Well, besides the obvious fact that Vegas odds makers are far from infallible and odds don't really accurately represent the dangers of fighting an elite level boxer, I think the odds difference can be explained largely by the fact that Canelo was the much bigger man who Floyd was moving up to fight, and was also undefeated.
Maidana is a rough customer and he's not going to quit or beat himself in there. He's going to come out firing and make Mayweather work. This is not a "gimme" fight. The odds would have been equally bad (or at least close to it) if it was Khan fighting him as well. It's just a testament to how dominant Floyd is in the sport.
I don't think Maidana is any tougher or grittier than Robert Guerrero or Canelo, and the latter guy would clearly kill him. Watch his fight with Alexander, he was totally lost in there and looked just like those guys did fighting Floyd. I give him virtually zero chance here as well.
I think Maidana's power is being over hyped. I don't think he is a KO artist at 147 at all. The Broner fight isn't a great barometer either...Broner had no business at 147 so quickly, he is much easier to hit than Floyd, and even though Maidana stunned Broner...he by no means BADLY hurt him.
No but we are all hoping.
Do not let success go to your head and do not let failure get to your heart.
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