Thread: boxing prediction challenge: season three

108 - big j
105 - titofan
090 - tic (season one champion 🏆)
088 - primo carnera (season two champion 🏆, lineal champion 👑)
078 - master
023 - nosavingbythebell



rules:

correct winner (cw) = 1 point
correct method (cm) (points or knockout) = 1 point
correct knockout round (ckor) = 3 points, if result is one round off (1ro) either side of prediction = 1 point, incorrect knockout round (ikor) = 0 points
correct exact decision type (cedt) (ud, sd, md) = 2 points, incorrect exact decision type (iedt) = 0 points
draw = 10 points (no one loses a point if a draw occurs & there has been no prediction for a draw from anyone)
disqualification = 8 points (correct winner & correct method points also added)
underdog pick (und) = 1 point (decided by picks, if picks are even i'll use the latest head-to-head odds once all picks have been entered)
if you are the only one to pick an underdog winner correctly (und*) = 2 points
incorrect winner prediction (iw) = -1 point

if you are leading the competition on points you will need to post your picks early, the cut off point will be midnight wednesday each week (uk time). there will be a -2 point penalty if the leaders picks are late for that week

all welcome
please try to get your picks in at least twenty-four hours before the first fight of the week
results will stand unless changed during the season timeframe
once your picks are in, they can’t be changed unless there is a change of opponent after your picks have been placed
season three will start around the sixth of october & go for roughly three months until the week ending thirty first of december
thanks for playing & good luck

Originally Posted by TIC

round ten

albert batyrgaziev v lazaro alvarez
bernardin jakaj v enid numanovic
tony yoka v ryad merhy
liam paro v montana love
regis prograis v devin haney
jahi tucker v francisco daniel veron
robeisy ramirez v rafael espinoza
chris billam-smith v mateusz masternak

Originally Posted by TIC

Originally Posted by TIC

round nine

gavin gwynne v emiliano marsili. result: gavin gwynne ko8 emiliano marsili
ramon nicanor quiroga v mario gutierrez. result: ramon nicanor quiroga d10 mario gutierrez
ryan garcia v oscar duarte. result: ryan garcia ko8 oscar duarte
ohara davies v ismael barroso. fight postponed
michael conlan v jordan gill. result: jordan gill ko7 michael conlan
tyrone mckenna v lewis crocker. result: lewis crocker wud10 tyrone mckenna
caoimhin agyarko v troy williamson. result: caoimhin agyarko wsd10 troy williamson
sean mccomb v sam maxwell. result: sean mccomb wud10 sam maxwell

the predictions were even for the gavin gwynne v emiliano marsili fight, so the latest odds have been used to determind the underdog

big j
Gavin Gwynne UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Ramon Nicanor Quiroga SD. (iw) +0 = 0
Ryan Garcia UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Ohara Davies UD
Michael Conlan KO7. (iw) -1 = -1
Lewis Crocker SD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (iedt) +0 = 2
Troy Williamson UD (und*). (iw) -1 = -1
Sean McComb UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4

total: 102+6 = 108

titofan
Gwynne by UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Quiroga by MD. (iw) +0 = 0
Garcia by UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Davies by UD
Conlan by TKO-9. (iw) -1 = -1
Crocker by UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
Agyarko by UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (iedt) +0 = 2
McComb by UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4

total: 94+11 = 105

tic
emiliano marsili unanimous decision (und). (iw) -1 = -1
mario gutierrez unanimous decision (und). (iw) +0 = 0
ryan garcia knockout round eleven. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
ismael barroso split decision
michael conlan unanimous decision. (iw) -1 = -1
tyrone mckenna unanimous decision (und*). (iw) -1 = -1
caoimhin agyarko unanimous decision. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (iedt) +0 = 2
sean mccomb unanimous decision. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4

total: 85+5 = 90

primo carnera
Gwynne UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Gutierrez UD (und). (iw) +0 = 0
Garcia KO7. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (1ro) +1 = 3
Conlan TKO6. (iw) -1 = -1
Crocker TKO8. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Agyarko UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (iedt) +0 = 2
McComb UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4

total: 78+10 = 88

master
Emiliano Marsili UD (und). (iw) -1 = -1
Ramon Nicanor Quiroga UD. (iw) +0 = 0
Oscar Duarte KO8 (und*). (iw) -1 = -1
Ohara Davies UD
Michael Conlan KO 6. (iw) -1 = -1
Lewis Crocker KO4. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Caoimhin Agyarko KO10. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Sean Mccomb UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4

total: 75+3 = 78

nosavingbythebell
Emiliano marsili KO6 (und). (iw) -1 = -1
ramon nicanor quiroga UD. (iw) +0 = 0
ryan garcia SD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
ismael barroso KO3
michael conlan KO3. (iw) -1 = -1
lewis crocker KO4. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
caoimhin agyarko KO 7. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
sean mccomb UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4

total: 18+5 = 23

there have been a few minor rule updates for season three. if you can all have a think if there are any things, you would like to add or change to start the new year with season four. things like length of season (three or four months, longer or shorter seasons), number of fights. post all your thoughts or pm master or myself. all ideas will be considered & implemented where possible

Thanks, TIC. Terrific job on the first two seasons. I probably won't catch either you or Primo in the last week of Season 2 (and could get caught by Big J if I slip up )... but it's been a great experience. I don't know about the rest of the guys... but this challenge got me looking at the most obscure fighters I would've never even heard of otherwise.

I'll be back to go for the title.

Originally Posted by TIC

if you are leading the competition on points you will need to post your picks first, so as early as possible please

All the rules (old and new) are great. This one I think is very important.

Originally Posted by TitoFan

Thanks, TIC. Terrific job on the first two seasons. I probably won't catch either you or Primo in the last week of Season 2 (and could get caught by Big J if I slip up )... but it's been a great experience. I don't know about the rest of the guys... but this challenge got me looking at the most obscure fighters I would've never even heard of otherwise.

I'll be back to go for the title.

Originally Posted by TIC

if you are leading the competition on points you will need to post your picks first, so as early as possible please

All the rules (old and new) are great. This one I think is very important.

thanks titofan. i appreciate you taking the time to play. i think primo carnera has pulled away enough to secure the championship as well but we have ten fights for the final week & a few of them could go either way. i try to include title fights, even if they are one-sided, as the fighters are generally better known. some weeks there aren't enough bigger fights so i try to look for the most competitive left, this can result in obscure fighters appearing but sometimes also results in hidden gems. i'm glad to hear you'll be back, you were only two points behind me & made a very good come back. i will try to mention the leader each week when i post the next weeks set of fights to get their picks in early if possible

Originally Posted by TitoFan

Thanks, TIC. Terrific job on the first two seasons. I probably won't catch either you or Primo in the last week of Season 2 (and could get caught by Big J if I slip up )... but it's been a great experience. I don't know about the rest of the guys... but this challenge got me looking at the most obscure fighters I would've never even heard of otherwise.

I'll be back to go for the title.

Originally Posted by TIC

if you are leading the competition on points you will need to post your picks first, so as early as possible please

All the rules (old and new) are great. This one I think is very important.

I'll be back for the next season as well
I've improved on my last ranking
You are right about some of the obscure fighters
I like that all weights are covered & from many different locations
I think that rule is very important as well
It makes the leader have to be confident in their picks without any knowledge of how others are thinking

there will be a -2 point penalty added from this season if the player leading enters their picks late. the cut off point for the current leader will be midnight each wednesday (uk time). i will mention the current leader each week when i post the next weeks fights to get their picks in early & try to mention them again about twenty four hours before the cut off point

round one

masood abdulah v marc leach
hopey price v connor coghill
kieron conway v linus udofia
leigh wood v josh warrington
haro matevosyan v mirko natalizi
osleys iglesias v artur reis
gilberto ramirez v joe smith jr
daniel valladares v ginjiro shigeoka
petchmanee cp freshmart v yudai shigeoka
tomoki kameda v lerato dlamini

I'm aiming for a top 3 finish this season

Round 1 picks

Masood Abdulah UD, Hopey Price UD, Kieron Conway UD, Leigh Wood UD, Haro Matevosyan UD, Osleys Iglesias KO2, Gilberto Ramirez KO11, Ginjiro Shigeoka KO5, Petchmanee CP Freshmart UD, Tomoki Kameda KO8
Abdulah might be biting off more than he can chew
Price by wide schooling
Is Conway the upset? I’m not so sure
Wood can box or bang, it’ll be smarter if he boxes
Matevosyan seems like a good boxer
Iglesias is a hidden gem
Ramirez is too big but not much better
Ginjiro wins his 1st championship title
Freshmart prevents his brother from doing the same
Kameda is on his way to a title shot at 126

Good luck to you all

I'm gonna follow your lead with the comments, Big J.

A tough Week 1... but I'll take a crack at it.

Abdulah by UD - (Leach is slick, but has been inactive. Abdulah has the talent.)
Price by UD - (Should be easy work for him.)
Udofia by SD - (Tough one to pick... but Udofia should pull it out.)
Wood by UD - (Should be very close.)
Matevosyan by UD - (Haro should be busier, and he's home.)
Iglesias by TKO-3 - (Reis won't be able to keep him off of him.)
Ramirez by UD - (Joe's durable, but Zurdo has more skills.)
G. Shigeoka by TKO-9 - (Valladares can hang, but gets stopped late.)
CP Freshmart by UD - (Who calls their kid Freshmart??)
Kameda by UD - (Dlamini will give him all he can handle, but will lose decision at home.)

marc leach unanimous decision
hopey price knockout round eight
linus udofia unanimous decision
josh warrington split decision
haro matevosyan unanimous decision
osleys iglesias knockout round four
gilberto ramirez unanimous decision
ginjiro shigeoka knockout round eight
yudai shigeoka unanimous decision
tomoki kameda unanimous decision

Marc Leach UD
Hopey Price UD
Linus Udofia UD
Leigh Wood UD
Haro Matevosyan UD
Osleys Iglesias KO7
Joe Smith jr UD
Ginjiro Shigeoka UD
Yudai Shigeoka UD
Tomoki Kameda UD

Originally Posted by TIC

there will be a -2 point penalty added from this season if the player leading enters their picks late. the cut off point for the current leader will be midnight each wednesday (uk time). i will mention the current leader each week when i post the next weeks fights to get their picks in early & try to mention them again about twenty four hours before the cut off point

I honestly think this is a great idea, but if I’m leading , in reality I may struggle because I don’t get time early in the week to look at this in detail. But I’ll plug away and see how it goes.
I’m not whingeing, I think the rule should be implemented. But I’m just giving advance warning that I may fall foul of it.
Can’t stress enough that I fully support it though. 👍

masood abdulah v marc leach - Leach UD
hopey price v connor coghill - Price UD
kieron conway v linus udofia - Udofia SD
leigh wood v josh warrington - Wood SD
haro matevosyan v mirko natalizi - Natalizi UD
osleys iglesias v artur reis - Iglesias KO8
gilberto ramirez v joe smith jr - Ramirez UD
daniel valladares v ginjiro shigeoka - Shigeoka KO10
petchmanee cp freshmart v yudai shigeoka - Shigeoka MD
tomoki kameda v lerato dlamini - Kameda SD

Originally Posted by TitoFan

Who calls their kid Freshmart??

i think it's a promotional thing

Originally Posted by Primo Carnera

Originally Posted by TIC

there will be a -2 point penalty added from this season if the player leading enters their picks late. the cut off point for the current leader will be midnight each wednesday (uk time). i will mention the current leader each week when i post the next weeks fights to get their picks in early & try to mention them again about twenty four hours before the cut off point

I honestly think this is a great idea, but if I’m leading , in reality I may struggle because I don’t get time early in the week to look at this in detail. But I’ll plug away and see how it goes.
I’m not whingeing, I think the rule should be implemented. But I’m just giving advance warning that I may fall foul of it.
Can’t stress enough that I fully support it though. 👍

i don't really want to penalize anyone, it just gives the others a chance to go against the leaders picks if they choose to wait for them to be posted. that's not always a good thing. in the final round of last season i changed a few of my predictions to go against yours, i was going with canelo by unanimous decision but saw you went with a decision so went for the knockout. i'll continue to try & get the next weeks fights up as early as possible to give the leader a few days to get their picks in

Originally Posted by TIC

round one

masood abdulah v marc leach. result: masood abdulah ko7 marc leach
hopey price v connor coghill. result: hopey price ko12 connor coghill
kieron conway v linus udofia. result: kieron conway ko6 linus udofia
leigh wood v josh warrington. result: leigh wood ko7 josh warrington
haro matevosyan v mirko natalizi. result: haro matevosyan wud12 mirko natalizi
osleys iglesias v artur reis. result: osleys iglesias ko4 artur reis
gilberto ramirez v joe smith jr. result: gilberto ramirez wud10 joe smith jr
daniel valladares v ginjiro shigeoka. result: ginjiro shigeoka ko5 daniel valladares
petchmanee cp freshmart v yudai shigeoka. result: yudai shigeoka wud12 petchmanee cp freshmart
tomoki kameda v lerato dlamini. result: lerato dlamini wsd12 tomoki kameda

interestingly master & primo carnera changed their picks on the masood abdulah v marc leach fight that was originally posted last month, marc leach who was the underdog then now becomes the favourite

big j
Masood Abdulah UD (und). (cw) +1, (im) +0, (und) +1 = 2
Hopey Price UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Kieron Conway UD (und*). (cw) +1, (im) +0, (und*) +2 = 3
Leigh Wood UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Haro Matevosyan UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
Osleys Iglesias KO2. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
Gilberto Ramirez UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
Ginjiro Shigeoka KO5. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ckor) + 3 = 5
Petchmanee CP Freshmart UD (und). (iw) -1 = -1
Tomoki Kameda KO8. (iw) -1 = -1

total: 20

tic
marc leach unanimous decision. (iw) -1 = -1
hopey price knockout round eight. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
linus udofia unanimous decision. (iw) -1 = -1
josh warrington split decision (und*). (iw) -1 = -1
haro matevosyan unanimous decision. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
osleys iglesias knockout round four. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ckor) + 3 = 5
gilberto ramirez unanimous decision. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
ginjiro shigeoka knockout round eight. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
yudai shigeoka unanimous decision. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
tomoki kameda unanimous decision. (iw) -1 = -1

total: 17

titofan
Abdulah by UD (und). (cw) +1, (im) +0, (und) +1 = 2
Price by UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Udofia by SD. (iw) -1 = -1
Wood by UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Matevosyan by UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
Iglesias by TKO-3. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (1ro) +1 = 3
Ramirez by UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
G. Shigeoka by TKO-9. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
CP Freshmart by UD (und). (iw) -1 = -1
Kameda by UD. (iw) -1 = -1

total: 14

master
Marc Leach UD. (iw) -1 = -1
Hopey Price UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Linus Udofia UD. (iw) -1 = -1
Leigh Wood UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Haro Matevosyan UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
Osleys Iglesias KO7. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
Joe Smith jr UD (und*). (iw) -1 = -1
Ginjiro Shigeoka UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Yudai Shigeoka UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
Tomoki Kameda UD. (iw) -1 = -1

total: 9

primo carnera
Leach UD. (iw) -1 = -1
Price UD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Udofia SD. (iw) -1 = -1
Wood SD. (cw) +1, (im) +0 = 1
Natalizi UD (und*). (iw) -1 = -1
Iglesias KO8. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
Ramirez UD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (cedt) +2 = 4
G. Shigeoka KO10. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (ikor) +0 = 2
Y. Shigeoka MD. (cw) +1, (cm) +1, (iedt) +0 = 2
Kameda SD. (iw) -1 = -1

total: 8