Only way I see JMM losing this is if he just isn't into it mentally. Alvarado has decent skills, but JMM is too experienced, and way to clever. JMM has been in some wars, and he was talking retirement for the last couple of years, so maybe his heart isn't into it. In my opinion, that is Alvarados only hope. JMM is just too good for him. Rios and Provodnikov were very one dimensional (although both, ESPECIALLY Provodnikov were bulls) and JMM is on another level of knowledge and skill in the ring. I say JMM stops Alvarado late after figuring him out and walking him into traps.