Re: Cotto-Pac - Who wins? Fact.
The saying goes "a good bigger man, always beats a great smaller man" , Which is why I voted for Pacquaio. I don't see Cotto as a good fighter, regardless of weight. I think this fight is Pacquaio's to lose. Looking at both fighters:
Cotto- He's slow and rather mechanical. His assertion that his hands are as fast as Pacquiao's, is a bit of over assumption on his part. Whats more he's open for an uppercut right up the middle... all day, every day. His playing coy with the media as far as not letting anyone see his training is rather pointless. He's been the same fight to fight. If his team said the plan was to walk Manny down or pressure him and break him down, i'd be impressed. The fact that he's said on numerous occasions, "that theyre ready for anything that Pacquaio brings, plays into the assumption of Roach that Cotto is looking to counter punch. I don't think Cottos ready for the pace that he will allow Manny to set. His power is there..but his coach being a gloried Go-for... I think his application is going to suffer with the lateral movement and the volume of punches being thrown by Pacquaio. He'll have a heard time getting his feet set and sitting down on his heavier shots.
Pacquaio - Despite being reinvented as a Boxing Messiah, Manny was still a limited fighter before and is overshooting his potential. He follows instructions well, very well but he can still be out thought. That being said, the transformation he's made as a fighter still says a lot about his potential and his understanding of the game. The dissention in his camp this time doesn't speak well for a group that appeared so tight before, and he does seemed to have been wearing himself thin between nationalism, politics, media appearences, Karaoke, and fighting. That would make him ripe for the picking. The difference maker here being Roach. I don't think that Roach is above faking injuries, if he truly needed more time to get Manny focused and ready. Quick southpaws have a way of making Cottos head spin, even at a relaxed pace. Double or triple the pace, add some angles and good lateral movement, and stack it on top of the spirit of a guy who doesn't mind getting hit and has experience fighting bigger opponents... and I find the odds stacked in Mannys favor.
Now I will say there is is an odd feeling that somethings not right about Pacquaio this time around, and I could see him making the biggest mistake he could make... I still think that if there was a major reason to think Pacquaio couldn't be close to his best, there would some kind of stalling or nickel and diming going on at the last minute to secure another advantage. Manny even just close to his best is still better than Cotto.If Pacquaio has strict orders to stay off the ropes, it could be a hard night for Cotto. Just my opinion.
They want your @$$ beat because upsets make news. News brings about excitement, excitement brings about ratings. The objective is to bring you up to the tower and tear your @$$ down. And if you don't believe that, you're crazy.
Roy Jones, Jr. "What I've Learned," Esquire 2003
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