Quote Originally Posted by Beanflicker View Post
No, for several reasons.

I don't think this is a complete gimme like most people think. Maidana is a rough customer who hits hard and is relentless, and Floyd isn't as fast of hand and feet as he once was, so I can see Maidana crowding Mayweather and making it rough for him.

A few things that make Maidana and interesting fight is that he's a lot grittier and more relentless than the guys Floyd has been fighting as of late. I don't see him giving up mentally, because he's used to being the slower guy in there who has to eat 3 or 4 punches to land 1. He is also a lot more unorthodox in his punching than guys like Canelo, and we saw that in the Broner fight. The shots he hurt Broner with were all from crazy angles, or punches that changed trajectory mid-flight. He's very effective on the inside and throws from crazy angles, so guaranteed he will land on Floyd on the inside if Floyd choses to go into a shell in front of him.

Other than that, I just don't think Maidana quite has the one-punch power needed to catch and blast Mayweather out of there. He might hurt him ala Mosley, but Floyd has showed a fantastic chin and ability to remain calm under duress, so even if Maidana hurts him I don't see him being able to close the show.

And as clever as Maidana can be with his power shots, he really only has one gear, and if he's tagging Floyd with any consistency in the early rounds, Floyd is intelligent enough to make the adjustments (unlike stupid Broner).

I'm looking forward to the fight, I'm hoping that Maidana can make Floyd uncomfortable in there, land some blows and maybe a couple of elbows, make it a street fight. And there's always that possibility that Floyd gets old overnight and all of a sudden his reflexes and punch resistance are diminished and Maidana cashes in a lottery ticket ala Antonio Tarver.
To put it in perspective, the odds for Canelo-Mayweather were 2-1 or 3-1 for Mayweather. The odds for Maidana-Mayweather, with Maidana coming off arguably the biggest victory of his career are 13-1 for Mayweather. This is the definition of a gimme fight. I don't see any way Chino wins. Mayweather might actually get his first stoppage since Hatton.