Ok guyz, here comes the Pacfan, the proud Pinoy from the Philippines 'whose sole reason being here is the Pac!' (well, almost) My time has come.
This is what I've been here for all this time and this is about the only time when the Pacfan becomes real serious
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Ok, let's get down to business.
We'll start with the Terrible: what should (or would [probably]) Erik do?
I think Erik would basically do what he usually does - he's hardly known to change his style, though I think he'll be a bit more careful this time. I have this gut feeling that he'll go for an all out attack once he catches Pac off-guard, aiming for a KO, and when he fails, retreat again. I think that will be his basic strategy in this fight. If you want to understand how Erik fights, just watch his eyes, he uses his eyes to the max, always looking for an opening and exploiting every opportunity when he sees one, somewhat similar to Marquez except he doesn't wait for his opponent to attack first.
Now to Pac: what should Pac do?
As they say, if it ain't broke..., so he will probably do what he did the last time. In that last fight he let Erik do his stuff until the 5th to sap him a bit and started his offense on the 6th. But facing a supposedly stronger Erik he'd probably be starting his attack earlier this time, always wary of Erik's kamikaze attacks on the way. If there is anything he should do differently, I think it will be in the defense department. It'll help him a lot if he gets hit just a little less. He did show some new defensive moves against Larios, the most effective being his spinning move after throwing his straight left, leaving Larios confused for his counter.
So what makes this fight exxxxziting?
Pac said he's got some new moves for this fight, and Erik keeping his silence as if he's keeping a top state secret. Who knows, Erik might come hanging up his gloves over his face as Winky does and Pac hitting Erik and immediately holding him like Hopkins did... As some fools might say, 'the possibilities are endless!' That big 'unknown,' ladies and gentlemen, makes this fight exciting!!!
And what will probably be the biggest factor determining the outcome of this fight?
It'll be the motivational factor against the confidence factor, IMO.
On the motivational front, Erik is clearly more motivated here and I'm sure you all know why so I'll skip the explanation. But on the confidence factor, Pacman clearly has the advantage; again no explanation is necessary here.
So what are the odds for this fight?
When motivation goes against confidence, the latter almost invariably wins. So I'll give the fight 49% for Erik and 51% for the Pac - that's how unsettling this fight is for the Pacfan. But since that's kinda timid for me, I'd settle with 45% & 55%, respectively. So is Pacfan being biased, we shall see!
And finally, disregarding the odds, what's Pacfan's prediction?
I think Erik will knock Pacman twice in the first round and again in the second, and KO him in the third!!! Why is that so? It's simply because Pacfan (that's me) has never being wrong with his analysis here but almost always wrong in his predictions!
That's because I've always used my heart when predicting, instead of my tinny mind. :P
Ok, folks, start digging your foxholes and stack up your sandbags coz we are in for a WAAAAAR! Don't forget to stack up on your MRE's too. Geeze, I can't wait.
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Re: Just another one of Wacko's Drunken Round by Rounds : Pacquiao Morales III
Originally Posted by rrbong
Very true. Sorry to the fans of EM. November 18 (19 here in the Philippines) is the appointed time for the Erik Morales' retirement from professional boxing. EM will be knockout before 10th round.
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