Guzman has a really good chin he took a few monster bombs from an overweight Jorge Barrios who we all know has dynamite in his hands, and just smiled. I think Guzman may counter Valero all night, and even if Valero lands clean, if he doesn't knock him over the Joan will throw a big shot back and just stand there and trade, he's got that wounded tiger quality, I think all round Guzman has too much to just be blasted out, therefore i give him the edge.