CC, Wack,excellent analysis. I agree with LG though,althought the size of the ring is not the be all and end all,it WILL be a big factor,the bigger the ring,the harder it's going to be for Oscar to cut it down.

Also,PBF jab used to be much much better,he does not use it much anymore though but I think that would be a big weapon against OSCAR,I don't think Oscar is good at handling jabs because he doens't really use his head and his arms are wide apart enough fot eh jab to land consistently,watch the Sturm fight,Felix landed jab after jab.

The number 1 factor for me is Oscar's inactivity..to fight PBF,you have to be sharp,you have to be fresh and you have to be motivated. Oscar is motivated,but he has had a prolonged period of inactivity,it's not his first long period out and they WILL catch up to him somewhere.

And his last fight against Mayorga was propoganda,it was to show the audience that the Goldenboy is back,back to his best etc etc. It answered absolutely NOTHING about his stamina,it just showed he could bang. He chose Mayorga for a reason and that was to look good and he clocked by Ricardo a few times too.

Floyd moving up in weight will have a slight effect on his speed but he will still be much faster. The Reyes gloves may have a bearing but it depends on how Floyd fights. The biggest guy he has fought thus far, Baldo,he employed potshot and run tactics,if he does that again,Oscar will NOT catch him.

However,I expect and hope for a better performance than that. It all depends on how great the speed differnce is and we'll only find out in the ring I guess.

I personally think Floyd will win and it would be dissappointing if he does not.He's younger faster fresher,Oscar's inactivity,rust,stamina questions and he is getting older all add up.However,it may be close and I have a feeling that there will be rematch,I mean 2 "businessmen",possibly the highest $$$ generating fight in boxing history,it has rematch stamped all over it!