I'm thinking of sticking a ton on Lewis Hamilton to win Sports Personality of the Year at Christmas. With no major football tournaments or Olympics I can't see anyone who can beat him.

Aside from Andrew Murry winning Wimbledon what could anybody else do?

He looks like he's going to be awesome this year and will probably win at least a couple races. One win would practically guarantee him winning SPOY.

So what do you guys think? The bookies are already ahead of me on this and some have him at 6/4 already but it's possible to get him for 7/4 or 2/1.

Should I bet now, wait until he crashes off and his odds drop a bit or just not bet on him at all as it's too risky?