Actually a very simple reason why Pavlik CANNOT beat JC.

Its pretty clear from the Taylor fight that Pav's main and pretty much only weapon is his right hand, well thats gonna be fuckin useless against a southpaw, especially one who has such excellent footwork and technical skills as JC. pavlik is all about his jab-right combo for power, against a lefty that aint gonna work to well. Pav would have to lunge to get the right around and that leaves him open for the counter, something JC is very good at, he loves come forward fighters.