Roger got lucky in his prediction (and in life that he is not a homeless person based on that video)...He said Shane would beat him based upon speed...but Shane doesnt possess the speed he had 5 years ago. It wasnt just speed, it was a combination of speed, skills, power, stamina and for me the most important GAME PLAN.....He watched Cotto's and Paul Williams fights, he figured out what worked for both and put it into play...He fought from the right distance, tied up when he needed to and had the stamina to fight the same fight for TWELVE ROUNDS (even though he didnt need to go 12 rounds)....Cotto and Williams were beating Tony but slowed because they ran out of gas (due to conditioning and the punches they took). Mosley was better conditioned and came in with a plan to negate the punches that wore down Cotto.....Shane also went to the BODY