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True, Cotto's only chance is to go immediately on the offensive, Mosley almost got Floyd in round 2 of their fight, Cotto must attack Floyd from the first bell. Doing it for 12 rounds is the problem and Floyd is a master ring tactician, he might not be the sharpest tool in the shed outside the ring, but he is a defensive master in the ring and is very smart in it. Cotto will have to land big very early otherwise Floyd will just pick him off at will and win a wide UD.
Cotto is very capable of making this a great fight, Floyd is the one who will put a dampener on the proceedings.
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