I think Dawson wins this too especially on the evidence of their first fight. But I'm going to predict a Hopkins win. I think he does enough to get the decision -- it'll be a close fight and normally the emerging guy would get the hall-of-famer on his reume but this particular emerging guy can't draw flies, has zero box office value. The new head of HBO boxing likes Hopkins and he's a bigger draw in Vegas so if he manages to make it a close fight I'm guessing he'll get the decision.
EDIT: After watching Abril-Rios if Hopkins makes it to the end of the twelfth round still on his feet then he gets the decision.
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