I kind of think Portugal might win the whole thing (although granted I haven't really looked at the draws). They could have easily gotten a point against Germany and look to be improving. Pretty good defensively and won't have any problem with defending and countering (looked deadly against a shitty Holland team) against Germany or Spain.

Also, I don't know if I realized how good Modric was till yesterday. He looked like the best player on the field at times against a historic midfield.