In the last sixteen years, when they've got past the groups stages in tournaments, England have won exactly two games. They beat Denmark and Ecuador who were both considered the weakest teams to make it through the group stages at each tournament. Basically, on the occasions that we manage to qualify for a tournament and then make it through the group stages we lose to the first half-decent team we come up against. To win this one we'll have to beat Italy, Germany and Spain. So let's not get too carried away.