Haye's accuracy at HW is above 40%. Very high I think. I also think Haye has a decent defense!
Other than the last sentence though I totally agree with your post. Vitali would be favorite going into the fight and Haye couldn't be as reckless as he was when he was finishing Chisora off, Chisora isn't a puncher and though Vitali certainly doesn't punch like he once did it'll still be more dangerous than Chisora's no doubt.
I just hope Vitali leaves the steroids alone!!
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