I would give Canelo perhaps a forty percent chance. IF he can get to Floyd's body that will probably be the key. Canelo has knocked down a number of opponents with his body work. Of course it's not like Floyd doesn't know that. I remember one of those short docs Showtime was doing to hype the fight Floyd Senior was saying Floyd, due to his age and wear and tear can only win fights with his smarts. I think that is exactly what he has been doing. If, by any chance Canelo can make this a bit of a brawl he has a chance. If the fight is a Floyd fight all the way through it may end up being just another boring Floyd fight. It certainly would be nice to have someone new in the top spot. I appreciate what Floyd does but his fights have been a bit boring lately. I would love to see Canelo go balls to the wall and take this.