The only way Canelo will win is if he throws caution to the wind and fights like hell for 3 minutes every round for the first 3 rounds, because unless he knocks Floyd out by round 4 Floyd will have worked Canelo out and punch holes through his defence like Swiss cheese, then cruise to a UD win or possible late stoppage.

The thing is Floyd only needs about 30 seconds a round to make a fool of somebody. Canelo has to be assertive and take a risk, he's not going to win a decision, he has to KO Floyd. I suspect Floyd will do his thing for 30 seconds a round while Canelo is hitting air for the rest of it.