At 147,it would be close. Oscar has had a long layoff,his stamina may not be there or he may not be as elsuive as he used to be and that would play into Margarito's hands. Oscar may very well win a decision or if those factors I mentioned come into play,Margarito may crush him. At 154,differnt story,Toni does not carry the weight well,I'd favour Oscar by WIDE UD.