Quote Originally Posted by Max Power View Post
NVSemin, Max Powerism 101 is possibly the ONLY predictive theory for boxing that any bookmaker would ever use if money was involved.

Let's keep it modern, so things like training and relative competition are roughly equivalent.

For every given example if you consider the weight and the experience together of the fighters and bet on the heftiest most experienced, you would win more often that not. You WILL STILL LOSE SOME. But, like the Casino, you will come up trumps in the end.

Analyse the last 5-10 years if you like over boxrec. You will find that the experience plays a greater role at the lower weights and at HW the weight+experience is an more equal measure of prediction.

It's pretty much like horse racing. If you bet on 1 Melbourne Cup your favourite horse may still not come in but if you bet on every Melbourne Cup there'll be a pattern.

Max Powerism 101 is akin the "studying the form" in horse racing. And I also think studying the last several fights of both fighters is a good model as well.

A sillier theory is the "styles make fights theory" which was basically debunked as soon as fighters developed KO punches (approx. 1980). The slugger, swarmer, boxer system is scrapped. You are either an infighter or an outfighter and either an aggressive puncher or a counter puncher. The power of your punch does not play a role in your style. I mean what is "slugger" style? Stand there and throw punches? No way!
Look, I have not really evaluated seriously Max Powerism 101, but I DO LOVE IT.

You know why?

It is simple. Like I just said, I need to study more whether it really works, but it is the simplicity that attracts me.