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I rewatched Berto's last 5 fights and man, it's hard to see him winning this fight without Floyd getting stupid and Berto landing something big. If Floyd choses to try to make some kind of statement and go toe to toe, Berto's chances increase dramatically.
Berto is fast but he's not good at counter punching, he's a "lunge forward and throw first" kind of guy, and that's the kind of stuff Floyd deals with best. He keeps his guard up high and practically gives up the body, so you're going to see the body jab and straight right from Floyd all night.
It's a shame because Berto has all the physical gifts you could ever want for a great fighter, he just never had the right trainer to really develop him as a skilled, thinking fighter.
David Lemieux = Future MW Champ and P4P King
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