Yeah... it's finalized. I like your analysis..... I hope you're wrong.... but I like your analysis.

I expect Cotto to have early success also. He's a much better boxer than Canelo, but gives up a few key factor, including youth, size, the "shop-worn" factor... and probably chin at this point. Cotto's taken quite a few hits on it over his career, while Canelo's still relatively fresh. He also has a naturally good chin. That to me will be a key factor, because I feel Cotto will hit that chin early and often.

I imagine Canelo will be a solid betting favorite from now until fight time, so I guess Cotto winning would have to be considered somewhat of an upset. Obviously I'll be cheering for Cotto... but he's gonna have to overcome the aforementioned disadvantages and be on his A+ game in order to pull it off.

One thing for sure. Unlike Floyd-Pac, this will be a hugely fan-friendly fight.