Canelo Alvarez vs Miguel Cotto. Who will win???

[Lefty08]

Canelo, probably by a stoppage late on.

Same.

[Master]

Canelo, probably by a stoppage late on.

Same.

Cotto has to stay disciplined and try to jab Canelo's head off. If cotto gets into a war for too long then he will get stopped. Saul is too young, fresh and strong. Very intriguing fight and it will have fans on the edge of their seats.

[GAME]

Cotto should win because
He has showed improved form recently………BUT IT WAS AGAINST A CRIPLED 38 YEAR OLD AND THEN AGAINST A WEIGHT DRAINED GOLOVKIN LEFTOVER
He has more experience…………….BUT THIS ALSO MEANS HE HAS MORE WEAR AND TEAR
He is better on his feet than Canelo…………..BUT HIS HANDS ARENT AS QUICK
He is using a Roach gameplan……………….BUT SO WAS PAQUIAO AGAINST FLOYD AND MARQUEZ
He has been in with better than Canelo …………..BUT HE USUALLY LOST TO THEM

Canelo should win because
He is the bigger stronger man ……………BUT HIS FEET ARE SLOW MOVING AROUND THE RING & HE CANT PUNCH ON THE MOVE
He is younger and fresher……………BUT HE FIGHTS AS IF HE IS PRESERVING HIS ENERGY DUE STAMINA ISSUES.
He should be able to absorb more punishment in a war ………..BUT IF COTTO ISNT DRAGGED INTO A WAR THEN HE’S IN TROUBLE.
He did better against Trout than Cotto did ………………….BUT COTTO DID BETTER THAN CANELO DID AGAINST FLOYD
He’s got a Mexicans heart and wont run like Cotto did in his losses to Marg and Pac ………… HIS HEART DIDN’T HELP HIM WHEN FLOYD AND LARA BOXED RINGS ROUND HIM.

[Kirkland Laing]

There are reasons to pick both guys. I originally expected Cotto to start well and pick his spots and win the first half of the fight but then Alvarez to gradually catch up with him, Cotto to spend the second half of the fight on his back foot and eventually get stopped. Now I'm not so sure. Maybe Cotto wins a close points decision.

Cotto isn't in his prime anymore but he still has enough left to make this a great fight. It's not like Bradley Rios where Rios had basically checked out before the fight and was not competitive. This will be good to watch.

He's done well since he hooked up with Roach but the three fights he's had have been against low quality and/or weight drained opposition. He might look considerably less good against a live opponent with a lot of power. I think I'm still going to pick Alvarez late.

[Jimanuel Boogustus]

Cotto will fade as he always does. The last time he did 12 and WON was against Clottey
The last time before that was Malignaggi
The last time before that was.... was.... was....



Unless he mounts an absolutely DOMINANT lead in the first two thirds, I think he'll loose a close decision or get stopped very very badly.

Sorry this is wrong he also beat Mosley and the Turkish fighter.

[TitoFan]

Cotto should win because
He has showed improved form recently………BUT IT WAS AGAINST A CRIPLED 38 YEAR OLD AND THEN AGAINST A WEIGHT DRAINED GOLOVKIN LEFTOVER
He has more experience…………….BUT THIS ALSO MEANS HE HAS MORE WEAR AND TEAR
He is better on his feet than Canelo…………..BUT HIS HANDS ARENT AS QUICK
He is using a Roach gameplan……………….BUT SO WAS PAQUIAO AGAINST FLOYD AND MARQUEZ
He has been in with better than Canelo …………..BUT HE USUALLY LOST TO THEM

Canelo should win because
He is the bigger stronger man ……………BUT HIS FEET ARE SLOW MOVING AROUND THE RING & HE CANT PUNCH ON THE MOVE
He is younger and fresher……………BUT HE FIGHTS AS IF HE IS PRESERVING HIS ENERGY DUE STAMINA ISSUES.
He should be able to absorb more punishment in a war ………..BUT IF COTTO ISNT DRAGGED INTO A WAR THEN HE’S IN TROUBLE.
He did better against Trout than Cotto did ………………….BUT COTTO DID BETTER THAN CANELO DID AGAINST FLOYD
He’s got a Mexicans heart and wont run like Cotto did in his losses to Marg and Pac ………… HIS HEART DIDN’T HELP HIM WHEN FLOYD AND LARA BOXED RINGS ROUND HIM.

Good, if flawed, analysis.
I'll provide my own.

Canelo should win because

He's a natural 160-pounder or above.......... REGARDLESS OF HIS TRYING TO SQUEEZE HIMSELF INTO THE SMW DIVISION
He hasn't been in too many wars, despite his 47 professional fights............ THAT'S BECAUSE THE BULK OF THESE FIGHTS WERE AGAINST INFERIOR OPPOSITION, AS CANELO WAS BROUGHT ALONG VERY CAREFULLY, TO SAY THE LEAST
He's 10 years younger than Cotto, a definite advantage in boxing.

Cotto should win because

He's a much better boxer than Canelo
He adapts to change a lot better than Canelo.......... AS SHOWN IN MANY FIGHTS, MOST NOTABLY ONE OF THEIR COMMON OPPONENTS, FLOYD
Cotto's quality of opponents is head and shoulders above Canelo's
Ridiculous claims about his heart............... EVIDENCED BY THE MANY WARS COTTO'S BEEN INVOLVED IN, INCLUDING NOTABLES LIKE RICARDO TORRES AND ZAB JUDAH


I'll go with Cotto inside the distance, probably the 10th round.

[powerpuncher]

I think that Cotto wins by a comfortable decision. It won't turn into a slugfest. Cotto will dictate the pace of the fight.