It's a must win for Martin more than for AJ, as if he does get blown out here he'll likely never hope to see a payday again. I think that's probably the most likely scenario as well, but still hard to call as Martin is also a huge guy an could have some extra gear he hasn't had to show yet. He looks a bit pedestrian, but at the same time seems to pace himself well and doesn't waste punches, it can be hard to read guys like that until they step up. I'd think if this goes past the mid rounds it could get interesting.