Carl Frampton v Leo Santa Cruz

[Primo Carnera]

Just for clarification I think Cruz is correctly the fav here. I gave him about a 55% chance of winning but the value is with Frampton with odds suggesting he just has a 28% chance of winning.

I think Frampton will win the early rounds with Cruz finishing strong. Really could go either way but think you have to be mad to back Cruz at 1.4 or less.

55% chance, 28% chance, it doesn't really matter does it ? at the end of the day , bets are only value if they are winning bets.
Here's an example of what I mean. Floyd v Manny, Floyd was ALWAYS going to win that fight, so Manny was still always going to lose and it didn't matter if he was 4/1 or 20/1.