Well can't argue with those hard numbers can weA 60% chance to beat a guy who starched him in 3-4 rounds? Do you think it's for no reason the guy has never rematched anyone who beat him, or had him badly hurt? Only ones I'd agree with are probably Vargas and Bradley, as those guys aren't extremely likely to hurt him, although even they have enough pop to do it. He has literally a 2% chance of beating Spence as far as I'm concerned, and everyone else on the list would have so much to draw from knowing they only need to get to him at any cost. This is even assuming he hasn't become all the more beatable after the bad KO to Canelo and inactivity.
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