Wilder vs Fury: Who wins and how?

[Freedom]

I'll be rooting for Fury, but he's up against it.

Wilder will have home country advantage. The referee (possibly Jack Reiss, who is America's Ian John-Lewis) and the judges will be on his side, especially since he's co-managed by Al Haymon. Fury cannot win a decision unless he completely dominates, and after his long layoff and serious personal problems, he will not be back to his best.

Because of the massive weight gain followed by a massive weight loss, Fury will be weakened, much like Jim Jeffries was when he fought Jack Johnson. People who go on crash diets lose muscle along with the fat, and it takes months and plenty of exercise before their full strength returns. So I don't think Fury is strong enough to knock out Wilder, but I do hope I'm wrong.

My prediction:

1) There about a 75% chance Wilder will KO Fury, probably in the later rounds but possibly early.
2) There is about a 25% chance that Fury lasts the distance and outboxes Wilder, but not by a wide enough margin to win with Wilder and Haymon's home judges. Wilder will win by gift decision.
3) There is close to a ZERO chance of Fury winning by KO/TKO, because he's not strong enough yet and because the American referee will protect Wilder (especially if it's the notoriously dodgy Jack Reiss).

[Gandalf]

I am supporting Wilder and hope he can produce a spectacular KO and then move on to Joshua having made a statement and with the momentum being all his own following Ortiz and Fury. It's a pick 'em fight though isn't it? Fury has the potential to spoil, frustrate and win rounds, but Wilder has the potential to hurt Fury and have him gun shy or else knock him out cold. Wilder needs to watch his legs though as he has been getting them tangled up too much and Fury needs to watch his own as he has looked a bit awkward on them at times in this comeback.

Wilder KO or Fury decision.

[Memphis]

Ive gone with Fury UD. There are concerns over Fury's fitness going in and they are valid. Inactivity, no real tests in his comeback, rapid weight loss. For me the physical side of things with Fury is something of a moot point. It's all in his head. When he's half arsed he looks a bit useless, see Cunningham, McDermott, Del Boy 1. When he straps it on he looks different gear, see Wlad, Del Boy 2. On song, His movement belies his size and excess baggage that might suggest a lack of fitness. Drivel spews from the Fury gob by the bucket load, but when he says he's a fighting man it's sincere, and I buy it. He's learned his trade but his fighting instinct has always been there.

I wont say Wilder's power is overrated, he can hit no doubt about that, but he averages eight and a bit rounds per fight since winning the title and half of those wins have been trumped by others in better quicker fashion. If he drops the right hand on Fury he'll know about it, I dont doubt that for a second, but it's by no means curtains if it happens. Wilder might get out of the blocks like Colin Jackson, but I doubt it. He was cautious against Ortiz and I expect him to repeat that against Fury. Tyson will have plenty of time to weave his spell and Wilder will never have had to think about something so much.