luck

[Yuzo]

say you and i are boxing. i throw a jab and you slip it through the space next to your right ear and over your right shoulder.



but whenever you slip a jab through the space next to your right ear and over your right shoulder, your head moves into the path of a right hand.



so when i see you slip my jab through the space next to your right ear and over your right shoulder i ought to throw my right hand, right? heres where it gets tricky. because the motion of this slip mimics the motion of a right hand, at that very moment, there is no way to know the difference between what may just be a slip or what may actually be a right hand. thats how jose quinones knocked out doug dewitt.



dewitt throws a jab thereby creating a slip, and, thinking he has moved quinones into the path of his right hand, at that very moment, runs into a counter right hand that was coming back over the top of his jab as he is trying to throw his right hand. heres a different view of the same thing.



so say you and i are boxing. i throw a jab and you slip it through the space next to your right ear and over your right shoulder. i have just moved you into the path of my right hand, but because theres no way for me to know the difference between what may just be a slip or what may actually be a right hand, at that very moment, i have to take a chance. in this view boxing can be described as a game of chance, or, more accurately, many miniature games of chance merging with each other to form into a greater sum that we have collectively named boxing. this was one game of chance. but there are many more. to navigate these games of chance, the boxer must have some understanding of what probabilistic outcomes can occur from each game of chance, weigh the risk, and choose which games of chance to play, and which games of chance not to play. in other words, the boxer will want to repeatedly impose carefully picked games of chance onto his opponent that he probably can win, and try to stay away from games of chance that he probably cant win.