Yes, I think you are exactly right. Chagaev will work him to the body and break him down. Chagaev has a short reach, but he is strong and determined enough to get inside. He is a bull in there. He did have a very close fight with the big Vladimir Virchis, who may be every bit as good as Valuev. I know styles make fights, but Chagaev certainly beat John Ruiz easier than Valuev did. This will be the test for Valuev. If he beats Chagaev he is legit., and has a great chance to beat Maricano's record... But I think not. Chagaev KO11