Judah probably will win the 2nd. Seems the guy who loses the first closely usually wins the second in devastating fashion. Of course Castillo couldn't do this with Mayweather, but he did with Corrales.

Two problems though,

Mayweather can stick to the gameplan he followed from round 6 on and he can win a wide decision.

But if he comes out trying to knock Judah out again he will have some problems.

And since Juan Diaz probably won't be on the card, I see no reason why Judah can't go and get Ronnie Shields again.