I think this fight is pretty simple to analyze. Kessler will not win a decision unless he CLEARLY wins the fight.. we've seen how the refs and judges treat Joe and that cannot be overlooked while speculating the winner of this fight.. So i feel Kessler has to knock Joe out, and i think he can do it, but he needs to throw a lot of combos. So it will either be a KO/TKO for Kessler, or a UD/SD possibly controversial for JC.. i don't see Calzaghe dreaming of knocking Kessler out unless he gets a controversial TKO by premature stoppage like the Manfredo fight.. After watching the Manfredo fight, if i was Kessler i'd make sure i was able to take a ref with me, or at least someone whos not from Joe's home grounds.