Because Fedor is Fedor I'm picking Fedor.

Don't get me wrong I love Randy and am a huge Captain America fan but Fedor has way too many tools at his disposal. When you have a guy who's only weakness is 'he cuts easy', you're in for a long night. The cut gameplan doesn't work very well, I think Fedor's JJ and Judo are outstanding, and if he wanted to avoid elbows he'd find a way.

Randy has good striking too but he's never faced a striker with the whipping speed and relentlessness that Fedor has. Another thing, Fedor usually fights much larger guys than Couture and I think that will work for Fedor as well.

I think as long as Fedor fights the way he has been all his career then his chances of losing are very very small, and until he loses he'll be the #1 HW as well as the favored fighter every time.

All said and done, Randy CAN beat Fedor, but he'll need a great gameplan, will have to execute it all perfectly, and keep from getting put on his back, because Fedor can GnP extremely well.