For me Calzaghe would take this one over twelve fairly difficult rounds, but that is on the basis of where he is now, and that could be very different in a few weeks time, after Calzaghe faces Kessler.

But for now, this is how I would read it. Pavlik would carry a lot of his power up to super-middleweight, but will also probably be more comfortable at the weight. Calzaghe's power has diminshed over recent years, as he's altered his style because of his hand injuries, meaning his emphasis is more on volume and speed, and less on his old power.

Pavlik would simply struggle to deal with that pace, as I believe Kessler will, and although he might land some big shots, and possibly even a knockdown, I think Calzaghe would do enough over the rounds to pull out a fairly comfortable points win.