This fight will probably go the distance and in that case, I will pick Cotto, since he will most likely be the more active fighter who comes forward. Mosley has not been a destructive force in the ring at 147-154. Yes, he has a good chin, speed, is always in good shape, but his recent fights, with the exception of Vargas II, have not been overwhelming victories. Vargas I was very close, estrada made Shane uncomfortable at times, and even Collazo was able to land on Mosley. Mosley seems to win decisions, but not all that dominating. I also see him do a lot of holding and only Hatton holds more, in my opinion. Cotto has shown the ability to adapt, and does a good job of preventing his opponents from holding him. Still, Mosley seems to find a way to win, and he's crafty, and that's why I will give him the distance, but not the victory. Or, maybe I am biased because I like Cotto, but either way, that's how I see the fight (whether reality or in my dreams).