Shane Mosley is certainly a better fighter than Zab Judah. However, I don't think the gap between a 36 year old Mosley and a 29 year old Judah is nearly as big as some people make it out to be.
In fact, I think Mosley and Judah share some of the same flaws. Both Shane and Zab were blessed with great handspeed, footspeed, and overall athleticism. However, both fighters spend too much time standing flatfooted in front of their opponents, trying to take advantage of their handspeed while neglecting their footspeed and athleticism.
Floyd Mayweather takes a lot of criticism for his style, but if Mosley and Judah fought more like Mayweather, they would be much better fighters. And this lack of movement is going to cost Mosley in this fight.
Mosley is going to stand in front of Cotto, and while I'm sure Mosley will land some hard clean shots, he's also going to be in Cotto's punching range. And if you're in Cotto's range, you're going to get hit, because he never stops punching. And Cotto's high punch output isn't just about throwing punches that score, he throws all his punches with the intent to hurt you.
I think Mosley will have some great moments early in the fight (just as Judah did), Mosley will probably rock Cotto on a few occasions. But over the 12 rounds, Cotto's body attack and relentless pressure will gradually wear down the much older Mosley. Shane has a great chin, so I can't see Miguel KO'ing him on a head punch. But I think Cotto's body attack could result in a late round TKO.
I think this Saturday night is when Miguel Cotto officially becomes a star.


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