I'm a huge Diaz fan, I'm biased as all hell but I think he breaks Katsidis down, probably stops him on cuts. I actually disagree a bit with you Wacko, Diaz isn't some defensive maestro but he keeps a pretty high guard and he's got some head movement, for a guy that's constantly in punching range he doesn't get hit that much, he's not totally wide open like some pressure fighters. He can be caught in between punches when he's throwing combos but he's quick enough that he usually gets away with it.

I just don't see Katsidis as the type to beat Diaz, I worry about Diaz fighting a guy who uses good movement, is disciplined and doesn't let Diaz impose his type of style on him. Sure Katsidis has a puncher's chance and we might see how Diaz fights going backwards if Katsidis can push him back but I'm pretty confident Diaz wins this.