I agree with you on many of your points ICB..

I think the question is really if Jones or even Hopkins will be able to keep up with Calzaghe if it gets into the later rounds..

Hopkins sits back and sits back and sits back.. etc.. It will be interesting to see him at a higher pace for most, if not all of the fight.

With Jones, I think that he will be fighting too high of a pace and would REALLY have to land some hard shots to stop Calzaghe's pressure early to get into control of the fight. If that happens, which it 100% definitely has the possibility, i think Jones would have a very good chance of defeating Calzaghe.. Roy would have to train exceptionally hard, and really wouldn't be able to sit back for 4 rounds like he did against Tito.