If kelly lands even a quarter of the shots bernard did, the fight wouldn't last very long. I don't see a way joe could keep from getting hit. Pavlik will walk right through those little bursts of taps that seem to bother and frustrate other fighters. Bernard did as much to not get hit as he did to hit joe. Pavlik wont. I love calzaghe and maybe a couple of years back i'd see it a little different and there are some great arguments as to why joe would win. I just imagine what will go through joe's head after feeling a couple of hard punches from kelly, even the ones that get blocked. Kelly isn't the greatest boxer in the world but he sets up big punches really well which makes up for any lack of actual boxing skill. Just my opinion, a lot of my friends say i'm crazy.