I agree that Pavlik is underrated by too many people - he's obviously a very effective fighter. He's also one of my favorite fighters, so I can admit a bias. But I can see Calzaghe frustrating Pavlik with movement and speed, which he still has enough of to cause Kelly problems, I think.

Someone else said it - if Joe can keep away from too many clean shots, he'd have a great chance to outscore Pavlik and win a points decision. I think it's an even money fight for me.