I can't help it but notice how heavy Margarito looks.

[CFH]

Everyone is giving Margarito too much of a shot in this fight, imo. Cotto will outbox him handily.

I think Margarito's size and style, combined with the fact that Cotto has been hurt by lesser fighters (weight-drained, I know...) are leading people to think that way, myself included.

And when exactly has Margarito been in the ring with a fighter that posseses Cotto's skills? Only guys who come close have made him look average, in Williams and Clottey(who would've won handily without the hand injury imo). I think Mosley and Judah were both tougher fights for Cotto than Tony will prove to be, and both of them landed good shots on Cotto to little effect, which indeed would indicate it was the weight, if you ask me. Sure it could be a grueling battle of attrition, but I think only if Cotto isn't smart enough to ensure that it isn't. I really feel he has the skills to avoid having to go to war with Tony. I'm not denying Margo is going to be hell for anyone if their gameplan is to stand toe to toe with him all night, but Cotto's ability to counter punch and fight off the back foot havve been getting better every fight.

The question could also be asked when has Cotto been in the ring with someone as big, strong, durable, and active at Margarito? I'd definately give the advantage for Cotto, for the reasons you mentioned, but this is by no means a slam dunk for him and something tells me Margarito will find a way to win; though I'm by no means 100% sure Margarito will win, this is the type of fight I go back and forth on. That being said, I've gone against Cotto in his last 2 fights, and he's always proven me wrong.