Tough fight for Pavlik, here are a few pointers that point to a tough terrible fight:

Size: Hopkins is 6 1" Pavlik 6 2" Hopkins also has a 1" reach on Kelly.

Weight: Hopkins has had 3 fights above 160lbs he schooled Tarver, soundly beat Wright and lost a close fight to Calzaghe. Pavlik fought once at 166lbs won a razor thin dec over Taylor didnt look as powerful at the weight.

Experiance: Pavlik whilst having fought Taylor will not have fought a beast like Hopkins. Pavlik is a combination of Glenn Johnson and Howard Eastman.

Speed: Neither man uses speed although Hopkins has a faster lead right

Power: Goes to Pavlik, not sure if he can hurt Hopkins at 170lbs he doesnt have one punch power but works well to the body and area were Calzaghe had good sucsess.

Footwork: Hopkins all the way, if Calzaghe with his superb footwork was shut down by Hopkins the straight foward Pavlik will be wrapped up like an octopus.

All in all this is a tough fight Pavliks work rate will become a trickle Hopkins WILL shut him down he doesnt bounce in and out.

Pavlik tough pts win but i wouldnt be supprised if Hopkins stole and sneaked it.

I still think the weight might be an issue and the size of Hopkins also makes this a tough fight.

Expect lots of holding, headbutting infact it will look similar to the Calzaghe fight.