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As far as Pavlik goes, I was one of the few who thought had a solid chance even before the Hopkins fight, because I thought his awkward southpaw style would be problematic for a basic one-two puncher. That said, we still don't know what kind of punch Williams can take at 160, and he would get hit some. I'd slightly favor Pavlik, but a points win for Williams would not surprise me at all. At 147 and 154, I don't see anyone beating him. He is better than he was in the first Margarito fight. He's starting sitting down on his punches, and when he does that those lanky arms possess some real pop.
One another thing, I know some will say that Quintana schooled him, so how can I say no one will beat him at 147 or 154. Two reasons: 1) He has started taking advantage of heighth, which he really wasn't doing before. That is why he was able to catch Quintana cold on the chin as he was coming in 2) standing tall and using his heigth, allows him to get more leverage on his punches, which is why he seems to have all of a sudden picked up so much power. Someone with arms as long as his will hit with pop with with the proper technique, which seems to have learned. The Quintana loss was probably the best thing to happen to him.
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