Roy's only chance is to take chances, let it all hang out, and hurt Joe bad with his straight right early. That punch is going to be there for him, just like it was for Hopkins, but he's going to need to stun him with the right and clean it up with the hook. Hopkins didn't really throw the cleanup hook - he pot-shotted in and out with the right. Jones is going to need to stay in the pocket long enough to get off 2 or 3 punch combos before he moves. It's his only shot, because that's the only way he's going to damage Calzaghe.
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