I won't count Calzaghe out but I think if this fight happens it could be the one to give him his first L. Dawson is faster, younger, stronger and a really good boxer. He doesn't just cruise; he likes to bang. He played around like Calzaghe did against Roy, except against a guy who could have hurt him in Tarver. Calzaghe's edge over him is his insane amount of stamina; Dawson will take off a round or two, but Calzaghe couldn't hurt him anyway. And Calzaghe's awkwardness/ring intelligence. But if they go punch for punch Calzaghe could lose in a big way.