I know it's a stupid and irrelevant comparison, but Abraham would have gotten beaten from pillar to pillar by Hopkins also that night. So Pavlik losing to Hopkins has no bearing on this fight.
If Abraham can neutralize Pavlik's jab, he has a good chance. If he cannot, Pavlik will just fire away all night on him. Abraham does not exchange with fighters, instead he fights in rushes when others take little breaks. Pavlik does not take many breaks in there. Abraham would have to force exchanges to win because Pavlik controls range and blocks punches pretty well. If Abraham does force exchanges, his chances go up dramatically with his punching power.
The thing is, will he force exchanges and go for broke? He did not do it against lesser guys than Pavlik. I see Pavlik winning a fairly wide decision.
Bookmarks