I think Cotto has a much better chance of beating Pac than ODH or Hatton did. However, it seems like many people are easily swayed by a fighters most recent performance (somewhat justifiably). ODH looked good against Forbes in some peoples eyes (not mine) and his previous fight had been a close-ish decision loss to the best P4P fighter in the sport. Hatton, while looking a little subpar versus Lazcano, had been impressive in his victory over Malignaggi. Cotto, disregarding the Jennings fight (which meant less than ODH - Forbes), has been knocked out and scraped out a decision many felt he did not deserve in two of his last three fights.
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