In Miguel's head is a small voice telliing him that Pacquiao is going to retire him. He is smart, he has seen enough retirements one after another after standiing toe to toe with the PacMan.
May probably be the reason why lately Cotto has been trying to fight going backwards, ala JMM, trying it out. Being the smart man, Cotto knows that this is the style of fighting that he can possibly come away with still intact and healthy after a ring date with Pacquiao, even if it seemingly come with a built-in handicap or worse, probably an inevitable loss. You survive, period!
As long as he has that fighting chance for the ocassional body shot, the hard right straights, all his lethal weapons and the like, he will take that stance and give it a try. An excellent chance with his power, to possibly change the tide and even win the fight!
The important thing is that at worst, you survive the fight intact and you're not damaged physically and emotionally, and left with only but one option... an early and premature, although richly rewarded retirement.
Recent history provides the matrix, the glaring evidences.
Where is his confidence coming from? Surely it is not from the state of disarray that his camp is at right now, as of the moment.
Cotto is a smart guy, and a proud one too. He knows what is best for him, and the road to take that is acceptable, and suitable, for the stature of a fighter that is "a" Miguel Cotto. The thinking guy that Miguel Cotto is, he learned to avoid the pitfalls that contributed to the bitter experiences of the HOF fighters that at one time or anoher, he may have surely had looked up to.
In his mind, IMHO, the tough stance is more for survival, if he loses then at least he still has a belt.
....there is that danger that Pacquiao will cause him to retire. The game plan is simply to avoid this.
Pacquiao will not destroy Cotto. Miguel will make sure of that. He will fight the fight which is safety first, then cash on in the mega bucks.
He is a smart man and he will do all that he can not to fall victim to history repeating itself over and over again. And maybe win the fight altogether, with a little luck smiling his way.
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I'm just kidding!!!
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