If was doing a book on this.
I'd have
Andre Dirrell 2/1
Andre Ward 2/1
Mikell Kessler 2/1
Jermain Taylor 4/1
Arthur Abraham 4/1
Carl Froch 6/1
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If was doing a book on this.
I'd have
Andre Dirrell 2/1
Andre Ward 2/1
Mikell Kessler 2/1
Jermain Taylor 4/1
Arthur Abraham 4/1
Carl Froch 6/1
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The way I see it is through the match ups these guys have.
Froch-Dirrell: Dirrell has answered a lot of questions, he's not got the greatest chin, he has great athletic ability and handspeed. Dirrell can also switch from lefty to righty pretty decently. I just think his handspeed and his stamina will help him vs Froch. 50/50 fight, I think Dirrell is a fresher, faster, and more powerful version of JT.
Abraham-Taylor: AA is a lot like Bernard Hopkins, he gives away rounds and JT has done well with that before, all he has to do is pace himself and use some damn defense!!! 70/30 AA is at the advantage with his current form BUT this will be the first fight he has ever had at 168 and he might be like Pavlik and can't fight there for some odd reason.
Kessler-Ward: Andre Ward is the greenest of the fighters in this tourny and Kessler is the most experienced. It would be a MAJOR upset for Mikkel to lose this bout. 80/20 obviously in favor of Kessler.
The only way I would give Froch a better shot to win is if he either fought JT again (which would still be difficult) or Andre Ward. It would have been nice if Tavoris Cloud could have made 168 for this!
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Dirrell is greener than Ward. Ward has beaten Miranda, and he also beat Henry Buchanan who wasn't bad.
Dirrel has beaten Victor Oganov and Anthony Hanshaw, hardly a whose who of supermiddles.
Dirrell might be a great fighter but as of right now we have no way to know exactly what he has. We will find out for sure though when he fights Froch.
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70/30 AA over Taylor? I'd say 60/40. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Taylor was able to defeat him. 70/30 would make it a pretty big upset and besides the weight, i don't see much of an advantage for AA. He beat up Miranda worse than Pavlik did (in the second fight), and Pavlik obviously KO'd JT but styles make fights and i think JT will be pretty active and his defense has greatly increased after the first Pavlik fight. He had a perfect gameplan to beat Kelly and he almost did (and did in some peoples opinion). AA is too economical with his punches so he's almost relying on a KO to beat Taylor if he fights that way.
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God is a concept, By which we can measure, Our pain, I'll say it again, God is a concept, By which we can measure, Our pain, I don't believe in magic, I don't believe in I-ching, I don't believe in bible, I don't believe in tarot, I don't believe in Hitler, I don't believe in Jesus, I don't believe in Kennedy, I don't believe in Buddha, I don't believe in mantra, I don't believe in Gita, I don't believe in yoga, I don't believe in kings, I don't believe in Elvis, I don't believe in Zimmerman, I don't believe in Beatles, I just believe in me!!
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On the contrary he'd likley go bankrupt.
I'd definitely take those 6/1 odds on Froch and 4/1 Abraham is pretty tasty.
Making the rank outsiders Dirrell and Ward his 2/1 favourites is just stupid.
Any sensible punter would back Ward and Dirrell at their 10/1 odds elsewhere than come to him and get some nice tasty rewards on Froch and Abraham.
As long as Kessler or Taylor don't win the punters would have a field day.
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